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Bairnsdale air quality and smoke forecast

Current government PM2.5 readings within 50 km of Bairnsdale, with separate NASA GEOS-CF, CAMS and SILAM total-PM2.5 forecasts sampled at the locality centre.

Updated · Location forecast · current monitors within 50 km of Bairnsdale · concentrations, not an Australian AQI

Current air quality and forecast

Now · observedGood5.3 µg/m³ median · 2 current monitors
Next 48 hoursGood3.7–10.4 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models
Forecast peak10.4 µg/m³12 Oct, 11:00 PM AEDT · CAMS

Nearby fires

150 km radius

Within 150 km, agencies report 1 Advice warning and 2 other fire locations.

View 3 nearby fire locations
Advice0.6Km S Of Gaffneys Creek133 km away · Contained · BushfireADVICE - BUSHFIRE - Stay InformedVicEmergency
Official warning details

ADVICE - BUSHFIRE - Stay Informed
Incident Location: 0.7Km S Of Gaffneys Creek
Issue Date: Sunday 11 October 2026, 08:39 pm
Next Update: Monday 12 October 2026, 10:00 am

More details at http://emergency.vic.gov.au/respond/#!/warning/43490/moreinfo

This Advice message is being issued for Drummond Point, Gaffneys Creek, Paradise Point, Raspberry Point, View Point.
- The bushfire at Gaffneys Creek is now contained.
- This Advice message replaces the previous Advice issued at 7.25pm on Sunday 11 October.

There is currently no threat to communities, but you should continue to stay informed and monitor conditions.

What to do
  • Stay Informed
Official source

Agency fire reports updated

Straight-line distance from the Bairnsdale centre to the reported incident location, or to the mapped fire boundary where an agency has published one. A fire without a published boundary may extend closer than its reported location suggests.

Last 24 hours and next 48 hours across Bairnsdale

200−24 hNow+24 h+48 hµg/m³
Range across monitors
About this chart

The observed line is the hourly median across reporting monitors and the shaded range shows local variation. NASA GEOS-CF, CAMS and SILAM are separate total surface PM2.5 research forecasts sampled near the Bairnsdale locality centre. They are not smoke-only, official health forecasts or blended with observations.

Forecast

Next 6 hoursGood2.2–4.0 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models
Next 12 hoursGood2.5–4.0 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models
Next 24 hoursGood3.7–10.0 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models
Next 48 hoursGood3.7–10.4 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models
Model detail3 available · 48-hour peak table
Model48-hour peakCategoryPeak around
NASA GEOS-CF7.5 µg/m³Good12 Oct, 3:30 PM AEDT
CAMS10.4 µg/m³Good12 Oct, 11:00 PM AEDT
FMI SILAM3.7 µg/m³Good12 Oct, 6:00 PM AEDT

Highest readings right now

current hourly PM2.5
Lakes EntranceGood5.7 µg/m³Indicative sensorBairnsdaleGood5.0 µg/m³Indicative sensor
All government monitors (2 total; 2 current)
MonitorPM2.5 µg/m³Air qualityObserved local
Lakes Entrance †5.7Good11 Oct, 9:00 PM AEDT
Bairnsdale †5.0Good11 Oct, 9:00 PM AEDT

† The publishing agency identifies these as indicative sensors. They add local coverage but are not reference-grade monitors.