Ballarat air quality and smoke forecast

Current government PM2.5 readings within 50 km of Ballarat, with separate NASA GEOS-CF, CAMS and SILAM total-PM2.5 forecasts sampled at the locality centre.

Updated 11 Oct, 9:17 PM AEDT · Location forecast · current monitors within 50 km of Ballarat · concentrations, not an Australian AQI

Current air quality and forecast

Now · observedGood3.4 µg/m³ median · 2 current monitors

Next 48 hoursGood to Fair3.4–12.9 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models

Forecast peak12.9 µg/m³13 Oct, 9:00 PM AEDT · CAMS

Nearby fires

150 km radius

Within 150 km, agencies report 5 other fire locations.

View 5 nearby fire locations

Western Fwy, Myrniong43 km away · Responding · OtherVicEmergencyOfficial source

Seymour129 km away · Responding · OtherVicEmergencyOfficial source

Whittlesea-Kinglake Rd, Kinglake West125 km away · Safe · OtherVicEmergencyOfficial source

Casey Fields Bvd, Cranbourne East142 km away · Safe · OtherVicEmergencyOfficial source

Daylesford35 km away · Safe · OtherVicEmergencyOfficial source

Agency fire reports updated 11 Oct, 9:25 PM AEDT

Straight-line distance from the Ballarat centre to the reported incident location, or to the mapped fire boundary where an agency has published one. A fire without a published boundary may extend closer than its reported location suggests.

Last 24 hours and next 48 hours across Ballarat

Range across monitors

About this chart

The observed line is the hourly median across reporting monitors and the shaded range shows local variation. NASA GEOS-CF, CAMS and SILAM are separate total surface PM2.5 research forecasts sampled near the Ballarat locality centre. They are not smoke-only, official health forecasts or blended with observations.

Forecast

Next 6 hoursGood2.2–2.6 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models

Next 12 hoursGood2.5–5.4 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models

Next 24 hoursGood3.4–6.5 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models

Next 48 hoursFair3.4–12.9 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models

Model detail3 available · 48-hour peak table

Model	48-hour peak	Category	Peak around
NASA GEOS-CF	5.5 µg/m³	Good	13 Oct, 8:30 AM AEDT
CAMS	12.9 µg/m³	Fair	13 Oct, 9:00 PM AEDT
FMI SILAM	3.4 µg/m³	Good	12 Oct, 12:00 PM AEDT

Highest readings right now

current hourly PM2.5

All government monitors (3 total; 2 current)

Monitor	PM2.5 µg/m³	Air quality	Observed local
Ballarat ^†	4.8	Good	11 Oct, 9:00 PM AEDT
Mount Clear	1.9	Good	11 Oct, 9:00 PM AEDT

^† The publishing agency identifies these as indicative sensors. They add local coverage but are not reference-grade monitors.