Mornington Peninsula air quality and smoke forecast

Current government PM2.5 readings within the official Mornington Peninsula SA4 boundary, with separate NASA GEOS-CF, CAMS and SILAM total-PM2.5 forecasts.

Updated 27 Aug, 10:17 AM AEST · ABS 2026 region · concentrations, not an Australian AQI

Current air quality and forecast

Now · observedGood4.8 µg/m³ median · 1 current monitor

Next 48 hoursGood to Fair4.5–19.2 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models

Forecast peak19.2 µg/m³28 Aug, 1:30 AM AEST · NASA GEOS-CF

Nearby fires

150 km radius

Within 150 km, agencies report 4 other fire locations.

Avondale Rd, Lalor73 km away · Under Control · Building FireVicEmergencyOfficial source

Settlement Rd, Bundoora70 km away · Safe · Structure FireVicEmergencyOfficial source

Cobblestone Av, Narre Warren South31 km away · Safe · OtherVicEmergencyOfficial source

West Bridge Rd, Glenburn97 km away · Safe · OtherVicEmergencyOfficial source

Straight-line distance from the Mornington Peninsula representative centre to the reported incident location, or to the mapped fire boundary where an agency has published one. A fire without a published boundary may extend closer than its reported location suggests.

Last 24 hours and next 48 hours across Mornington Peninsula

Range across monitors

About this chart

The observed line is the hourly median across reporting monitors and the shaded range shows local variation. NASA GEOS-CF, CAMS and SILAM are separate total surface PM2.5 research forecasts sampled near the reporting-monitor centre. They are not smoke-only, official health forecasts or blended with observations.

Forecast

Next 6 hoursGood2.4–7.1 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models

Next 12 hoursGood2.7–9.8 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models

Next 24 hoursFair4.5–19.2 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models

Next 48 hoursFair4.5–19.2 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models

Model detail3 available · 48-hour peak table

Model	48-hour peak	Category	Peak around
NASA GEOS-CF	19.2 µg/m³	Fair	28 Aug, 1:30 AM AEST
CAMS	12.0 µg/m³	Good	29 Aug, 10:00 AM AEST
FMI SILAM	4.5 µg/m³	Good	28 Aug, 4:00 AM AEST

Highest readings right now

current hourly PM2.5

All government monitors (1 total; 1 current)

Monitor	PM2.5 µg/m³	Air quality	Observed local
Hastings	4.8	Good	27 Aug, 10:00 AM AEST