Outer East air quality and smoke forecast

Current government PM2.5 readings within the official Melbourne - Outer East SA4 boundary, with separate NASA GEOS-CF, CAMS and SILAM total-PM2.5 forecasts.

Updated 27 Aug, 10:17 AM AEST · ABS 2026 region · concentrations, not an Australian AQI

Current air quality and forecast

Now · observedGood8.2 µg/m³ median · 4 current monitors

Next 48 hoursFair to Poor17.6–27.1 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models

Forecast peak27.1 µg/m³29 Aug, 7:30 AM AEST · NASA GEOS-CF

Nearby fires

150 km radius

Within 150 km, agencies report 4 other fire locations.

Avondale Rd, Lalor39 km away · Under Control · Building FireVicEmergencyOfficial source

Settlement Rd, Bundoora36 km away · Safe · Structure FireVicEmergencyOfficial source

Cobblestone Av, Narre Warren South40 km away · Safe · OtherVicEmergencyOfficial source

West Bridge Rd, Glenburn28 km away · Safe · OtherVicEmergencyOfficial source

Straight-line distance from the Melbourne - Outer East representative centre to the reported incident location, or to the mapped fire boundary where an agency has published one. A fire without a published boundary may extend closer than its reported location suggests.

Last 24 hours and next 48 hours across Outer East

Range across monitors

About this chart

The observed line is the hourly median across reporting monitors and the shaded range shows local variation. NASA GEOS-CF, CAMS and SILAM are separate total surface PM2.5 research forecasts sampled near the reporting-monitor centre. They are not smoke-only, official health forecasts or blended with observations.

Forecast

Next 6 hoursFair6.3–13.3 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models

Next 12 hoursFair10.5–19.1 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models

Next 24 hoursFair10.5–19.1 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models

Next 48 hoursPoor17.6–27.1 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models

Model detail3 available · 48-hour peak table

Model	48-hour peak	Category	Peak around
NASA GEOS-CF	27.1 µg/m³	Poor	29 Aug, 7:30 AM AEST
CAMS	17.6 µg/m³	Fair	29 Aug, 12:00 AM AEST
FMI SILAM	19.1 µg/m³	Fair	27 Aug, 10:00 PM AEST

Highest readings right now

current hourly PM2.5

All government monitors (4 total; 4 current)

Monitor	PM2.5 µg/m³	Air quality	Observed local
Yarra Glen ^†	13.7	Fair	27 Aug, 10:00 AM AEST
Mooroolbark	10.3	Good	27 Aug, 10:00 AM AEST
Healesville ^†	6.0	Good	27 Aug, 9:00 AM AEST
Warburton ^†	4.5	Good	27 Aug, 10:00 AM AEST

^† The publishing agency identifies these as indicative sensors. They add local coverage but are not reference-grade monitors.