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South East air quality and smoke forecast

Current government PM2.5 readings within the official Melbourne - South East SA4 boundary, with separate NASA GEOS-CF, CAMS and SILAM total-PM2.5 forecasts.

Updated · ABS 2026 region · concentrations, not an Australian AQI

Current air quality and forecast

Now · observedGood4.9 µg/m³ median · 1 current monitor
Next 48 hoursGood to Fair4.2–14.0 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models
Forecast peak14.0 µg/m³13 Oct, 8:00 PM AEDT · CAMS

Nearby fires

150 km radius

Within 150 km, agencies report 2 Advice warnings and 8 other fire locations.

View 10 nearby fire locations
Advice0.7Km Ne Of Three Bridges46 km away · Contained · BushfireADVICE - BUSHFIRE - Threat Is ReducedVicEmergency
Official warning details

ADVICE - BUSHFIRE - Threat Is Reduced
Incident Location: Coles Road, Three Bridges
Issue Date: Sunday 11 October 2026, 08:41 pm
Next Update: Monday 12 October 2026, 10:00 am

More details at http://emergency.vic.gov.au/respond/#!/warning/43489/moreinfo

The Threat is Reduced following the bushfire at Coles Road, Three Bridges.
- This Advice message replaces the Advice message issued at 6:26 pm, Sunday 11 October.

People located within the area are now able to resume normal activities.

What to do
  • Threat Is Reduced
Official source
Advice0.6Km S Of Gaffneys Creek104 km away · Contained · BushfireADVICE - BUSHFIRE - Stay InformedVicEmergency
Official warning details

ADVICE - BUSHFIRE - Stay Informed
Incident Location: 0.7Km S Of Gaffneys Creek
Issue Date: Sunday 11 October 2026, 08:39 pm
Next Update: Monday 12 October 2026, 10:00 am

More details at http://emergency.vic.gov.au/respond/#!/warning/43490/moreinfo

This Advice message is being issued for Drummond Point, Gaffneys Creek, Paradise Point, Raspberry Point, View Point.
- The bushfire at Gaffneys Creek is now contained.
- This Advice message replaces the previous Advice issued at 7.25pm on Sunday 11 October.

There is currently no threat to communities, but you should continue to stay informed and monitor conditions.

What to do
  • Stay Informed
Official source

Other reported locations

Agency fire reports updated

Straight-line distance from the Melbourne - South East representative centre to the reported incident location, or to the mapped fire boundary where an agency has published one. A fire without a published boundary may extend closer than its reported location suggests.

Last 24 hours and next 48 hours across South East

200−24 hNow+24 h+48 hµg/m³
Range across monitors
About this chart

The observed line is the hourly median across reporting monitors and the shaded range shows local variation. NASA GEOS-CF, CAMS and SILAM are separate total surface PM2.5 research forecasts sampled near the reporting-monitor centre. They are not smoke-only, official health forecasts or blended with observations.

Forecast

Next 6 hoursGood2.7–4.5 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models
Next 12 hoursGood3.0–6.2 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models
Next 24 hoursGood4.2–11.9 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models
Next 48 hoursFair4.2–14.0 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models
Model detail3 available · 48-hour peak table
Model48-hour peakCategoryPeak around
NASA GEOS-CF7.6 µg/m³Good12 Oct, 1:30 PM AEDT
CAMS14.0 µg/m³Fair13 Oct, 8:00 PM AEDT
FMI SILAM4.2 µg/m³Good12 Oct, 2:00 PM AEDT

Highest readings right now

current hourly PM2.5
DandenongGood4.9 µg/m³
All government monitors (1 total; 1 current)
MonitorPM2.5 µg/m³Air qualityObserved local
Dandenong4.9Good11 Oct, 9:00 PM AEDT