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Melbourne air quality and smoke forecast

Current PM2.5 air quality across Greater Melbourne, with separate NASA GEOS-CF, CAMS and SILAM total-PM2.5 forecasts.

Updated · ABS 2026 region · concentrations, not an Australian AQI

Current air quality and forecast

Now · observedGood4.5 µg/m³ median · 23 current monitors
Next 48 hoursGood to Fair4.0–13.8 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models
Forecast peak13.8 µg/m³13 Oct, 9:00 AM AEDT · CAMS

Nearby fires

150 km radius

Within 150 km, agencies report 2 Advice warnings and 5 other fire locations.

View 7 nearby fire locations
Advice0.7Km Ne Of Three Bridges64 km away · Contained · BushfireADVICE - BUSHFIRE - Stay InformedVicEmergency
Official warning details

ADVICE - BUSHFIRE - Stay Informed
Incident Location: Coles Road, Three Bridges
Issue Date: Sunday 11 October 2026, 06:26 pm
Next Update: Sunday 11 October 2026, 08:30 pm

More details at http://emergency.vic.gov.au/respond/#!/warning/43486/moreinfo

This Advice message is being issued for Three Bridges.
- There is a bushfire at Coles Road, Three Bridges that is not yet under control.

There is currently no threat to you, but you should stay informed and plan for what you will do if the situation changes.

What to do
  • Stay Informed
Official source
Advice0.6Km S Of Gaffneys Creek114 km away · Contained · BushfireADVICE - BUSHFIRE - Stay InformedVicEmergency
Official warning details

ADVICE - BUSHFIRE - Stay Informed
Incident Location: 0.7Km S Of Gaffneys Creek
Issue Date: Sunday 11 October 2026, 07:25 pm
Next Update: Monday 12 October 2026, 10:00 am

More details at http://emergency.vic.gov.au/respond/#!/warning/43487/moreinfo

This Advice message is being issued for Drummond Point, Gaffneys Creek, Paradise Point, Raspberry Point, View Point.
- The bushfire at Gaffneys Creek is not yet under control.
- This Advice message replaces the previous message issued at 9:45 am Sunday 11 October.

There is currently no threat to communities, but you should continue to stay informed and monitor conditions.

What to do
  • Stay Informed
Official source

Agency fire reports updated

Straight-line distance from the Melbourne city centre to the reported incident location, or to the mapped fire boundary where an agency has published one. A fire without a published boundary may extend closer than its reported location suggests.

Last 24 hours and next 48 hours across Melbourne

220−24 hNow+24 h+48 hµg/m³
Range across monitors
About this chart

The observed line is the hourly median across reporting monitors and the shaded range shows local variation. NASA GEOS-CF, CAMS and SILAM are separate total surface PM2.5 research forecasts sampled near the reporting-monitor centre. They are not smoke-only, official health forecasts or blended with observations.

Forecast

Next 6 hoursGood2.6–4.8 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models
Next 12 hoursGood2.9–5.1 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models
Next 24 hoursGood4.0–11.3 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models
Next 48 hoursFair4.0–13.8 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models
Model detail3 available · 48-hour peak table
Model48-hour peakCategoryPeak around
NASA GEOS-CF11.3 µg/m³Good12 Oct, 2:30 PM AEDT
CAMS13.8 µg/m³Fair13 Oct, 9:00 AM AEDT
FMI SILAM4.0 µg/m³Good12 Oct, 2:00 PM AEDT

Highest readings across Greater Melbourne

current hourly PM2.5
MacedonGood5.8 µg/m³Indicative sensorMeltonGood5.6 µg/m³Yarra GlenGood5.3 µg/m³Indicative sensorKinglakeGood5.2 µg/m³Indicative sensorWarburtonGood5.2 µg/m³Indicative sensor

Explore local forecasts

28 locations
All Victoria4.8 µg/m³ median · 86 current monitorsGoodGeelong3.8 µg/m³ median · 4 current monitorsGoodBallarat3.6 µg/m³ median · 2 current monitorsGoodBendigo4.6 µg/m³ median · 3 current monitorsGoodMildura1.2 µg/m³ median · 2 current monitorsGoodShepparton4.3 µg/m³ · Good · 11 Oct, 8:00 AM AEDTLast reading

Regional-city pages sample research forecasts at the named centre and summarise current government monitors within 50 km. Nearby fire context uses a 150 km radius.

View all regional cities and towns (18)
AraratGood2.6 µg/m³ median · 2 current monitors · Location forecastBairnsdaleGood5.3 µg/m³ median · 2 current monitors · Location forecastBallaratGood3.6 µg/m³ median · 2 current monitors · Location forecastBendigoGood4.6 µg/m³ median · 3 current monitors · Location forecastEchucaGood4.8 µg/m³ median · 1 current monitor · Location forecastGeelongGood3.8 µg/m³ median · 4 current monitors · Location forecastHamiltonGood4.8 µg/m³ median · 1 current monitor · Location forecastHorshamGood4.3 µg/m³ median · 1 current monitor · Location forecastLakes EntranceGood5.2 µg/m³ median · 3 current monitors · Location forecastLorneGood5.1 µg/m³ median · 3 current monitors · Location forecastMallacootaGood6.3 µg/m³ median · 1 current monitor · Location forecastMilduraGood1.2 µg/m³ median · 2 current monitors · Location forecastPortlandGood5.8 µg/m³ median · 2 current monitors · Location forecastSheppartonLast reading4.3 µg/m³ · Good · 11 Oct, 8:00 AM AEDT · Location forecastSwan HillGood0.8 µg/m³ median · 3 current monitors · Location forecastWarrnamboolGood4.8 µg/m³ median · 1 current monitor · Location forecastWodongaGood5.2 µg/m³ median · 4 current monitors · Location forecastWonthaggiGood4.8 µg/m³ median · 3 current monitors · Location forecast
View Melbourne regions (9)
InnerGood2.3 µg/m³ median · 2 current monitors · ABS metro regionInner EastGood0.7 µg/m³ median · 1 current monitor · ABS metro regionInner SouthGood0.0 µg/m³ median · 1 current monitor · ABS metro regionNorth EastGood4.7 µg/m³ median · 3 current monitors · ABS metro regionNorth WestGood4.7 µg/m³ median · 4 current monitors · ABS metro regionOuter EastGood5.1 µg/m³ median · 4 current monitors · ABS metro regionSouth EastGood2.3 µg/m³ median · 1 current monitor · ABS metro regionWestGood3.6 µg/m³ median · 6 current monitors · ABS metro regionMornington PeninsulaGood1.0 µg/m³ median · 1 current monitor · ABS metro region
All government monitors (23 total; 23 current)
MonitorPM2.5 µg/m³Air qualityObserved local
Macedon †5.8Good11 Oct, 8:00 PM AEDT
Melton5.6Good11 Oct, 8:00 PM AEDT
Yarra Glen †5.3Good11 Oct, 8:00 PM AEDT
Kinglake †5.2Good11 Oct, 8:00 PM AEDT
Warburton †5.2Good11 Oct, 8:00 PM AEDT
Healesville †5.1Good11 Oct, 8:00 PM AEDT
Bacchus Marsh †4.9Good11 Oct, 8:00 PM AEDT
Sunbury †4.8Good11 Oct, 8:00 PM AEDT
Wallan †4.7Good11 Oct, 8:00 PM AEDT
Gisborne †4.6Good11 Oct, 8:00 PM AEDT
Lancefield †4.6Good11 Oct, 8:00 PM AEDT
Melbourne CBD4.5Good11 Oct, 8:00 PM AEDT
Brooklyn4.2Good11 Oct, 8:00 PM AEDT
Mooroolbark3.2Good11 Oct, 8:00 PM AEDT
Point Cook2.9Good11 Oct, 8:00 PM AEDT
Footscray2.6Good11 Oct, 8:00 PM AEDT
Dandenong2.3Good11 Oct, 8:00 PM AEDT
Altona North1.9Good11 Oct, 8:00 PM AEDT
Hastings1.0Good11 Oct, 8:00 PM AEDT
Box Hill0.7Good11 Oct, 8:00 PM AEDT
Alphington0.0Good11 Oct, 8:00 PM AEDT
Brighton0.0Good11 Oct, 8:00 PM AEDT
Macleod0.0Good11 Oct, 8:00 PM AEDT

† The publishing agency identifies these as indicative sensors. They add local coverage but are not reference-grade monitors.

Times are local (AEDT) and mark the end of each measurement hour.Methodology & source policyHosted in Australia